“In the upcoming 20-50 years the population of Azerbaijan will grow reaching from 14 to 20 million. Azerbaijan’s economy is developing at the moment has a serious potential or relating to transnational projects. Azerbaijan’s economy is developing at the moment and has a serious potential both related to transnational projects as well as with simple trade of gas and oil. They also have reliable friends that Armenia and NKR lack. Azerbaijan is also a good simple market for the EU and it would be more interesting. The neighboring Turkey after Erdogan and Putin is likely to improve relations with Russia, bringing them at least to neutral levels. After Putin’s Russia is likely to weaken significantly in recent years it has formed a large army of enemies and “foes” that thanks to Putin’s person is not a direct threat for the country currently, and probably will be after him. Poland, Ukraine, Turkey and a few small countries shall set up anti-Russian military block under NATO’s will sponsorship, without direct involvement. Russia will also have to expect blows from the Central Asian region and China.”
Armenia’s main “partner” Diaspora is increasingly less trusting in Armenia in connection with the vast scale of corruption in the country. If this trend continues in the next 20-50 years, the Armenia-Diaspora ties will gradually weaken due to the time factor as well. The Armenian community in Russia has traditionally been and remains weak, the Russian culture rapidly assimilates Armenians after one generation. This community shall regularly be used against Armenia, of course with some positive exceptions.
Due to different circumstances, if this continues, Armenia population shall not increase.
If in the next 20 -50 years, the status quo in Nagorno Karabakh and adjacent territories even shall be maintained, what many people dream of and even if there are no large-scale wars, in the future we will have Nagorno-Karabakh with a pretty small population, rundown economy and empty border areas. In such geopolitical conditions, it is unlikely that any major country would recognize the NKR.
What to do?
1. Create a survey group to examine the phenomenon of “Elektrik Yerevan” and “a four-day war” and mobilization of Armenian society and the Diaspora, and make conclusions. The group shall be headed by Professor Lyudmila Harutyunyan. The findings and conclusions of the group shall be used to carry out reforms.
2. Immediately arrest and deprive corrupt current and former officials who have become rich in this poor country. Invest the confiscated money in the economy. The Governments must prove that the Motherland is more valuable.
3. To arm in unprecedented volumes and saturate the NKR and Armenia with super modern techniques.
4. Direct a vast amount of the funds mentioned in paragraph 2 to the development of knowledge based economy and the army.
5. Create military academies, which will provide mandatory and regular training for all citizens, including women and children.
6. The State should actually consider that the only partner is Civil Society and Diaspora. In this case, definitely unprecedented worldwide fundraising activities shall start, and which will be directed and allocated to the Armenia’s economy and the Army. Due to the intrinsic moblizatsion strength of the country it will be possible to completely eliminate corruption; direct all efforts to the development of country’s economy and build a powerful army. See how in paragraph 1.
7. State at the official level that in case if the UN Security Council member states recognize the independence of NKR, then it is ready to return the security “buffer zone” and implement prokjects promoting regional peace. As a gesture of goodwill, we can also state that Armenia will allow the construction of communications from Nakhichevan to Azerbaijan.”
Iravaban.net learnd this from the Facebook account of Viktor Yengibaryan, President of the European Movement of Armenia.
Iravaban.net
